With Free Agency fast approaching, the rumors of which teams will sign who are flying all over the place. Most of them are pretty ridiculous, and even the ones that sound likely to happen, often don’t.
Remember how it was “absolutely certain” that Ed Jovanovski was going to sign in Florida last year? Then GM Mike Keenan announced his main focus was going to work on signing a big name #1 defenseman. Todd Bertuzzi was at that point, a Panther, and it’s well documented that the two are/were good friends. “Jovo Cop” was drafted by and played several seasons with Florida, and his Wife is from the area. It all made sense, yet on July 1st, the Phoenix Coyotes announced they had signed Jovanovski to a multi-year deal.
My point is, anything can happen.
This year, Canucks’ fans shouldn’t have much hope in the team signing a big name UFA player, but again we go back to that “anything can happen” attitude. After all, who expected Vancouver to land Luongo last season? Maybe Nonis has another huge, yet smart, trade in the works.
The Canucks don’t have a lot of dollars to spend, and are unlikely to spend over $1.5 on any player, and even that minimal dollar value could be pushing it.
Vancouver’s biggest need is for two top 6 wingers. The types that sign for around $3-4 million a season. There’s no way they will be able to pick one up, unless it involves trading away a current contract.
As far as trades, the only players with big contracts that are even possible trade options are Markus Naslund ($6 million), Brendan Morrison ($3.2 million) and Matt Cooke ($1.5 million).
Naslund has a no-trade clause and there’s no guarantee he’d even be willing to waive it. However, saying that, I wouldn’t think he’d mind to get out of the Vancouver spotlight, and not have the burden of being the team’s captain. The guy is not captain material, but it’s almost impossible to strip a captain of the C, and then keep him on the team. Still, I don’t think we could trade Naslund even if we were giving him away. He’s nowhere near worth the money he makes, and at his age, it’s unlikely he’s going to turn it around. I doubt any team would be willing to take him on. Where’s Mike Milbury when we need him?
Morrison is the most likely man on the roster to be traded. He is still valued around the league, and his salary is low enough that there’s teams that wouldn’t have a problem taking it on. He’s a solid two-way player, and we could still fetch a decent player in return for him. So, why would we even want to trade him, then? He’s probably worth more around $2.5 than $3.2, and if we could unload him and pick up a pure scoring winger, I think that’s a move that would have to be made. He’s also had injury problems as of late, and he may not recover.
Cooke doesn’t make a whole lot at only $1.5 million, but he’s been injured a lot the past few years, and when he is playing, he’s not a whole lot better than some of the Canucks’ other grinders. I think Alex Burrows, Jeff Cowan or Rick Rypien could easily fill his role, and at a third of the price.
So, with the current salary numbers in mind, which potential free agents could we expect the Canucks to go after? Here’s my top five possibilities:
Kyle Calder
Earlier in the year, it looked like Calder’s NHL career could be in jeopardy. He started off horribly with Philly, but was then traded to Detroit where he played not too bad. He had 14 points in 19 games with the Wings, and proved he’s still capable of being a scoring forward. The Canucks often look towards third liners with second line potential (Bulis, Chouinard, Pyatt), and Calder fits that mix. If he doesn’t see any interest in the first week of free agency, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Canucks try to grab him out of the bargain bin. He could be had for around $1.5 million per season.
Patrik Stefan
The former 1st overall pick has become the poster boy for draft busts, but he’s still a capable NHL player. He’s a good two-way player, and fills the third line center role well. He had 11 points in 41 games with the Dallas Stars last season. His dollar figure should come in somewhere around 900k-$1 million per season.
Ruslan Fedotenko
Every year, there seems to be a rumor or two that Vancouver is interested in acquiring this guy. He had a lot of potential as a prospect, but hasn’t completely panned out. Still, he fits into that mold of “third line with 2nd line potential”, and he would fit in under the Canucks cap. I think he could be had for around $1.2 mil per year, although I wouldn’t give him more than a one year deal. He had 32 points in 80 games with Tampa last season. He’s basically the Jan Bulis equivalent of 2007.
Michel Ouellet
There was a rumor at the beginning of last season that the Canucks were going to acquire Ouellet in exchange for Matt Cooke. Never happened, but I can understand the Canucks’ interest in him. He’s a pure offensive player, something that is desperately needed. The thing is, I’m really unsure what type of dollars he could be looking at. He’s only 25, but some team may be willing to pay him for potential, and he could possibly get as much as $3 million per year (Scott Hartnell is a good example of a similar situation). If he stays under $2 million, I think Vancouver could show interest. The reason Pittsburgh cut him loose, is that they were afraid he would be awarded too much money at arbitration, so it’s likely he’s out of the Canucks’ price range.
Jan Bulis
Yes, we already traveled along this path. It was bumpy for a while, but turned out not too bad in the end. I think Bulis, if he fails to land a good offer, and if the Canucks fail to land a replacement, could return. He proved at the end of the year he can be a valuable member of the team. If he signs a contract without thinking he’s going too “play with the Sedins”, then I think he could be back.
Some other less likely possibilities include:
Paul Kariya - He’s from the Vancouver area, and he may be interested in returning home. This would only work if Vancouver unloaded salary first. Even then, I’m not sure if Kariya fits into the type of team the Canucks are building.
Vitali Vishnevski - The Canucks defense is basically set, but the addition of a tough, defensive defenseman that can hit is an interesting option. He would fit in perfectly as the 6th or 7th d-man, but the ‘Nuck may choose to fill that role with a younger prospect, like Edler or Koltsov.
As far as the potential backup goes, I am going to say it’s gonna be either Dany Sabourin (if he fails to find work elsewhere), or Drew MacIntyre. It looks like prospect Cory Schneider will sign with the Canucks, and play this year with the Moose. It would not be benficial for the two young goalies to split the work in Manitoba, and I think MacIntyre could adequately fill the back up role in Vancouver. I just hope it’s not Jamie McLennan. A lot of Canuck fans want this guy, because of his friendship with Luongo. Yes, that is a good thing, and McLennan is a good team guy, but he’s just not a good goalie. I’d rather have someone more capable of playing, than go with an old and inadequate McLennan.
This year, barring a major trade, it’s unlikely to be a very interesting off season for Canucks’ fans. Next season, however, will be an entirely different situation. Both Naslund and Morrison’s contracts will be expiring, and that will clear up nearly $10 million in salary dollars for Nonis to play around with.